Despite a last-minute compromise, US remains nation of cliff dwellers
Something significant and quite
extraordinary happened in Washington last Tuesday — the federal
government worked! For a few brief hours, the president and the
Congress declared an armistice in the nonstop war of attrition that
has crippled Washington for the past 15 years and instead
successfully grappled with legislative matters of great consequence
for the nation.
The Congress has passed and the
president has signed into law a bill that temporarily averts what
otherwise would have produced fiscal and economic Armageddon.
It’s important to be clear on
what’s been accomplished and what’s left undone. For the first
time since 1990, the Congress has voted on a bipartisan basis to
raise taxes. The legislation was passed by the Senate 89-8. Any
senator could have brought the entire process to a halt with a
filibuster. None did!
Speaker Boehner allowed the House
to vote on the Senate- passed measure, and the House adopted it by a
vote of 257-167. The deal came within a whisker of being torpedoed by
the tea party Republicans. In the final House vote, only 85 of the
241 Republicans supported the bill. One can hope that this vote will
mark the beginning of the end for the tea party wingnuts.
Here are the main provisions of the
legislation: The Bush-era tax cuts of 2001 and 2003, which
technically expired at midnight on New Year’s Eve, are reinstated
and made permanent for most Americans. However, individuals with
incomes above $400,000 and couples with incomes above $450,000 will
face higher taxes. For them, the effective tax rate will rise from 35
percent to 39.6 percent. This will produce an additional $60 billion
dollars annually — enough to run the government for about a week!
In addition, those high-income individuals will see their capital
gains tax rate increase from 15 percent to 20 percent.
The legislation also extends
unemployment benefits another year for the long-term unemployed, it
prevents a 27 percent cut in physician fees for doctors who treat
Medicare patients, it removes the threat of a gigantic spike in milk
and dairy prices that could have occurred because of the deadlock on
the farm bill, and it includes numerous tax breaks for businesses and
for renewable energy.
The new law also resolves two
long-standing tax problems, the Alternative Minimum Tax and the
Federal Estate Tax. The AMT was initially enacted in 1969 because
there were 155 highincome households in America who paid no income
tax. The AMT was designed to correct that inequity, but Congress
never adjusted the AMT for inflation. Over the decades, it has
affected more and more people, including the middle class. The new
legislation permanently removes that threat to the middle class.
The legislation also ends
uncertainty with respect to federal estate taxes. They will now be
levied only on individuals whose estates are in excess of $5 million
and couples whose estates exceed $10 million. In addition, those
amounts will be annually adjusted for inflation.
Finally, the legislation delays for
two months the “sequester” that would otherwise have begun to
make what some believe are draconian reductions in both domestic and
defense spending.
But for all that this legislation
accomplishes, including the bipartisan manner in which it was
enacted, the hard fact of the matter is that it barely qualifies as
foreplay in terms of what is coming in the next couple of months.
In fact, although a precipitous
fall off the fiscal cliff has been temporarily averted, America
remains a nation of cliff dwellers. Nothing has yet been resolved on
the much larger and much more contentious issues of debt, deficit and
spending. And those issues can no longer be avoided.
Although most Americans don’t yet
realize it, on New Year’s Eve the nation breached the national debt
ceiling. The Secretary of the Treasury will use his authority to keep
the United States from defaulting on our obligation to service our
debt by moving money from one account to another for a couple of
months. But by March, the debt ceiling limit will have to be raised
or default will occur. If default occurs, the credit worthiness of
the United States will be downgraded. That will produce national and
international economic chaos. America would then resemble Greece, or
worse, a banana republic.
In addition and at the same time,
the two-month extension of the dreaded sequester will expire. What
all of this means is that the time will be upon the president, the
Congress and all of us to face the music, or to really send the
nation over the fiscal cliff.
The only way out of this much more
fundamental problem is to constrain the portions of the federal
budget that are leading us to economic and fiscal catastrophe — the
entitlements — Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security.
Fixing the runaway entitlements and
rewriting and simplifying the income tax code for individuals and
corporations is what we must do to save our economy and our way of
life. It can only be accomplished successfully on a bipartisan basis.
The odds against success are long,
and time is short. President Obama has yet to show the courage or the
competence to lead such an effort. After all, it was Joe Biden, not
Barack Obama, who brokered the compromise last week. The House
Republican Caucus, dominated by uncompromising tea party zealots, is
nothing but a destructive band of simpletons.
We’re gonna need a miracle!
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